2050 Long Range Growth Forecasts
The Hillsborough County Planning Commission and Transportation Planning Organization both require population, employment and other demographic and scenario-based projection data to the year 2050 to facilitate their state and federally mandated work efforts. In addition to supporting the Tampa Bay Regional Planning Model development, the data also supports the missions of other agencies including the Hillsborough County School Board, HART, Fire/EMS, Parks and Recreation, and Utilities.
We develop official planning projections every five years. First, agency staff generated base small area projections using the official countywide forecasts published by the Bureau of Economic and Business Research in 2022 and historical growth rates by Traffic Analysis Zone. Then, we presented these base projections to land use planners inside and outside Plan Hillsborough. The final numbers reflect their corrections and comments.
For more information, contact economist Yassert Gonzalez at [email protected] or 813-582-7356.
Projections
Technical Documentation
- Technical Memorandum
- Technical Presentation
- Presentation to the Planning Commission on July 10, 2023
Data Files
- Excel tables of Population and Employment Projections by Block Group, TAZ, Tract, and ZIP Code
- Interactive map of Population Projections by Traffic Analysis Zones
- Interactive map of Employment Projections by Traffic Analysis Zones
- GIS Feature Class of Population and Employment Projections by Block Group, TAZ, Tract, and ZIP Code
Kernel Density of New Persons per Acre Through 2050
Kernel Density of New Jobs per Acre Through 2050
